Celtic Heroes

Do the lvl 20 witches has a smaller chance of dropping a broom/glider/staff then a 90/130/190 witch or are the same chances or do the lvl 20 not even drop em? Thx in advance

I'm wondering the same thing. Killed just over 300 witches and only pumpkins.

^ same killed 150 ish

Anyone know

I got a 10% mount off a lvl 20

I got a 10% mount off a lvl 20

Going off past events the odds are around one in a thousand. So if you kill one thousand you stand about a 70% chance of at least one.

I got a 10% mount off a lvl 20

Going off past events the odds are around one in a thousand. So if you kill one thousand you stand about a 70% chance of at least one.

Uhh.. how did you come up with 70% lmao

I've killed about 300 and gotten a 40% and a 10%. They both dropped from 20s. I have killed about 20 higher levels and gotten pumpkin bombs.

Someone on our server got a 90% after about 150 kills

I got a 10% mount off a lvl 20

Going off past events the odds are around one in a thousand. So if you kill one thousand you stand about a 70% chance of at least one.

Uhh.. how did you come up with 70% lmao

The binomial distribution theorem. The odds of at least one, given 1 in 1000 odds and 1000 tries are the sum of the odds of getting one plus the odds of getting two plus the odds of getting three plus the odds of getting 4 ... Up to the infinately small odds of getting 1000.

Now you may question the 1-1000 premise but the rest is actually simple mathematics proven through basic axioms.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution

The cumulative probability of at least one is around 73.58% for n tries with a 1/n probability.

http://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial.aspx

For example you can determine the probability of at least one ensorcelled (or 2 or whatever you like) enter the probability of .01 for the odds (1%) then enter the number of tries and for fun the exact number of successes you are interested in.

So for example you may try 100 times. The odds of getting exactly one is 39% while the odds of getting 1+ is 73.58%.

Isn't math fun?